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Red51
46721.2
409726.5
173537.8
Blue23
107333.3
264826.4
234219.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93910501505123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1735
Unranked
37.82.1
40.538.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.5
1073
Unranked
33.33.4
39.936.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4097
Unranked
26.52.1
25.623.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
2648
Unranked
26.43.4
33.329.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
467
Unranked
21.22.1
26.224.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
2342
Unranked
19.93.4
18.314.9
Auto
Teleop
End