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Red205
12673.1
147413.5
105840.0
Blue147
328029.2
323626.3
18145.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113104050150200250205147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
126
Unranked
73.14.7
61.466.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 27.7
181
Unranked
45.42.1
52.654.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1058
Unranked
40.04.7
33.538.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.8
3280
Unranked
29.22.1
27.729.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1474
Unranked
13.54.7
16.721.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.8
3236
Unranked
26.32.1
24.927.0
Auto
Teleop
End