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Red121
88537.0
9529.3
6154.4
Blue119
31951.1
13152.9
50132.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111144050200250121119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61
Unranked
54.40.2
53.253.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
131
Unranked
52.91.0
49.648.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
885
Unranked
37.00.2
36.937.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.1
319
Unranked
51.11.0
55.354.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
95
Unranked
29.30.2
26.326.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
501
Unranked
32.21.0
34.433.4
Auto
Teleop
End