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Red120
168726.7
216866.3
409726.5
Blue172
226216.9
346770.8
19577.6
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81186050100150250300120172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2168
Unranked
66.31.2
59.060.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.3
195
Unranked
77.60.1
83.883.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1687
Unranked
26.71.2
15.716.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 44.1
3467
Unranked
70.80.1
70.670.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4097
Unranked
26.51.2
22.123.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.6
2262
Unranked
16.90.1
15.715.8
Auto
Teleop
End