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Red127
17242.0
13836.7
264826.4
Blue121
115341.5
147413.5
346770.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103136050150200250300127121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
172
Unranked
42.00.9
43.644.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 28.8
3467
Unranked
70.80.5
70.770.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
138
Unranked
36.70.9
38.839.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.8
1153
Unranked
41.50.5
40.239.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2648
Unranked
26.40.9
26.127.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.8
1474
Unranked
13.50.5
20.520.0
Auto
Teleop
End