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Red113
13152.9
22848.2
18145.4
Blue67
115341.5
226216.9
264826.4
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17365010015020025030035011367

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
Unranked
52.92.2
51.849.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.3
1153
Unranked
41.50.7
39.638.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
228
Unranked
48.22.2
52.049.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.9
2648
Unranked
26.40.7
27.126.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
181
Unranked
45.42.2
52.350.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 28.5
2262
Unranked
16.90.7
14.714.0
Auto
Teleop
End