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Red155
17242.0
12568.6
226216.9
Blue166
173537.8
395822.5
105840.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13384050100150200250300155166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
Unranked
68.61.5
70.471.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 28.6
1058
Unranked
40.03.7
36.440.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
172
Unranked
42.01.5
41.242.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
1735
Unranked
37.83.7
35.439.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2262
Unranked
16.91.5
14.015.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.6
3958
Unranked
22.53.7
19.623.4
Auto
Teleop
End