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Red126
7853.0
107333.3
226216.9
Blue135
50132.2
12568.6
404859.4
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84176050100150200250300126135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
Unranked
53.01.4
51.653.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.6
125
Unranked
68.61.3
71.970.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1073
Unranked
33.31.4
31.232.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 26.1
4048
Unranked
59.41.3
57.756.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2262
Unranked
16.91.4
15.516.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.4
501
Unranked
32.21.3
32.130.8
Auto
Teleop
End