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Qual 82014 BattleCry 15
Red102
23051.8
323626.3
23823.5
Blue100
71643.6
18145.4
226216.9
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97121050150200250102100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
Unranked
51.80.1
44.1→44.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 6.4
181
Unranked
45.40.9
49.4→48.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3236
Unranked
26.30.1
27.5→27.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 17.3
716
Unranked
43.60.9
53.2→52.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
238
Unranked
23.50.1
29.0→29.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 6.6
2262
Unranked
16.90.9
14.4→13.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—