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Red112
17579.5
23051.8
6154.4
Blue117
83932.0
23823.5
352550.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions115102050150200250300112117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61
Unranked
54.40.0
54.454.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
3525
Unranked
50.00.7
49.450.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
230
Unranked
51.80.0
48.848.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.8
839
Unranked
32.00.7
31.332.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1757
Unranked
9.50.0
9.49.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.9
238
Unranked
23.50.7
22.823.5
Auto
Teleop
End