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Red81
19655.1
107334.8
287750.3
Blue133
110030.6
8826.5
6935.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98111020030040081133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2877
Unranked
50.31.0
63.562.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.6
69
Unranked
35.71.2
44.145.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1073
Unranked
34.81.0
30.329.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
1100
Unranked
30.61.2
33.835.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1965
Unranked
5.11.0
6.45.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 21.3
88
Unranked
26.51.2
31.032.2
Auto
Teleop
End