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Red140
168717.1
476127.8
12571.0
Blue102
107334.8
346130.5
8826.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12385050150200250300350400140102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
Unranked
71.01.1
73.975.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 36.1
1073
Unranked
34.80.6
29.429.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4761
Unranked
27.81.1
25.326.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
3461
Unranked
30.50.6
29.229.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1687
Unranked
17.11.1
18.019.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.4
88
Unranked
26.50.6
32.232.8
Auto
Teleop
End