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Red126
17546.4
287750.3
346130.5
Blue75
264814.9
19553.3
7844.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12111505010015020025030012675

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2877
Unranked
50.30.3
53.153.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
195
Unranked
53.32.0
55.353.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
175
Unranked
46.40.3
38.739.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
78
Unranked
44.82.0
46.844.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3461
Unranked
30.50.3
28.528.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.6
2648
Unranked
14.92.0
13.711.7
Auto
Teleop
End