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Red18
404845.5
476127.8
19553.3
Blue122
151960.9
6935.7
264814.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions167133010020030040050018122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
Unranked
53.37.2
71.364.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.6
1519
Unranked
60.90.8
68.667.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4048
Unranked
45.57.2
58.551.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.7
69
Unranked
35.70.8
44.143.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4761
Unranked
27.87.2
32.525.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.9
2648
Unranked
14.90.8
25.624.8
Auto
Teleop
End