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Red31
359823.4
29525.4
841B0.4
Blue102
1671B18.6
449816.1
167151.6
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57120010015020025030035031102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
295
#16
25.41.8
28.226.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 26.2
51.60.4
59.058.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
23.41.8
30.929.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
18.60.7
32.732.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
841B
#18
0.42.9
7.34.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.6
4498
#11
16.10.4
18.618.2
Auto
Teleop
End