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Red100
1671B18.6
841B0.4
84120.1
Blue57
21235.3
69212.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5553020408010010057

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
841
#4
20.12.3
20.222.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.1
212
#10
35.30.3
14.014.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
18.63.8
35.231.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.3
692
#17
12.30.2
23.423.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
841B
#18
0.43.8
7.110.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
2.50.3
15.615.9
Auto
Teleop
End