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Red102
167895.7
29525.4
841B0.4
Blue166
325026.8
1671B18.6
212269.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions147125050100200250300102166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95.72.1
101.599.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 26.3
69.41.9
70.071.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
295
#16
25.42.1
31.429.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
26.81.9
26.728.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
841B
#18
0.43.5
10.87.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.2
18.63.2
31.434.6
Auto
Teleop
End