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Red164
11452.6
248924.3
186831.9
Blue52
50267.3
64932.2
281325.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions986705015020025016452

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
114
Unranked
52.63.5
43.747.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.4
649
Unranked
32.21.0
29.928.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1868
Unranked
31.93.5
25.429.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.8
2813
Unranked
25.21.0
30.029.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2489
Unranked
24.33.5
24.027.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.0
5026
Unranked
7.31.0
11.710.7
Auto
Teleop
End