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Qual 312014 CalGames
Red100
2535.2
84683.5
214430.7
Blue47
135130.4
50267.3
247326.9
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13361010015020025010047

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
846
Unranked
83.51.1
78.8→77.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 53.1
1351
Unranked
30.41.3
31.1→29.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2144
Unranked
30.71.1
36.9→35.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.8
2473
Unranked
26.91.3
30.3→29.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
253
Unranked
5.21.1
6.2→5.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 2.1
5026
Unranked
7.31.3
10.7→9.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—