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Red71
10029.3
415915.0
418610.1
Blue41
186831.9
425510.2
285414.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39650501001502007141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
100
Unranked
29.31.4
21.122.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.6
1868
Unranked
31.91.0
29.028.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4159
Unranked
15.01.4
15.016.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
2854
Unranked
14.01.0
19.918.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4186
Unranked
10.11.4
6.78.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
4255
Unranked
10.21.0
12.511.4
Auto
Teleop
End