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Red56
26435.3
25617.0
145835.5
Blue87
510418.0
247326.9
84023.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63780501001502005687

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1458
Unranked
35.50.5
33.232.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.7
2473
Unranked
26.90.6
29.029.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
256
Unranked
17.00.5
22.021.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.1
840
Unranked
23.10.6
25.125.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2643
Unranked
5.30.5
10.49.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.7
5104
Unranked
18.00.6
21.822.4
Auto
Teleop
End