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Red50
418610.1
425510.2
281325.2
Blue37
84023.1
236716.8
26435.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions455301001502005037

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2813
Unranked
25.20.2
25.425.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
840
Unranked
23.10.8
26.125.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4255
Unranked
10.20.2
11.711.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.6
2367
Unranked
16.80.8
18.317.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4186
Unranked
10.10.2
8.99.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
2643
Unranked
5.30.8
7.76.9
Auto
Teleop
End