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Red164
60446.7
145835.5
84683.5
Blue22
70129.7
248924.3
502311.8
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17354010015020025030035040016422

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
846
Unranked
83.50.5
78.178.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 53.9
701
Unranked
29.72.5
29.126.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
604
Unranked
46.70.5
44.645.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.4
2489
Unranked
24.32.5
27.725.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1458
Unranked
35.50.5
32.232.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 23.7
5023
Unranked
11.82.5
15.212.7
Auto
Teleop
End