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Red117
186831.9
75121.9
476522.8
Blue18
26435.3
214430.7
425510.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7946010015020011718

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1868
Unranked
31.92.2
30.432.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
2144
Unranked
30.71.7
32.330.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4765
Unranked
22.82.2
22.224.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.5
4255
Unranked
10.21.7
11.910.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
751
Unranked
21.92.2
21.323.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.7
2643
Unranked
5.31.7
6.95.3
Auto
Teleop
End