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Red126
330B42.8
4470B14.3
183620.8
Blue101
6873.2
351228.1
1138C25.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58710100150200250300126101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
330B
Unranked
42.85.5
34.540.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.7
3512
Unranked
28.11.6
26.327.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1836
Unranked
20.83.3
19.522.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.5
1138C
Unranked
25.42.7
32.134.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4470B
Unranked
14.35.5
5.611.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.1
687
Unranked
3.21.6
10.812.4
Auto
Teleop
End