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Red82
501214.3
512435.7
183620.8
Blue120
347677.6
69112.2
4470B14.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7510405015020025030035082120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5124
Unranked
35.70.1
41.241.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 41.9
3476
Unranked
77.61.0
73.274.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1836
Unranked
20.80.1
22.923.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.5
4470B
Unranked
14.31.7
11.112.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5012
Unranked
14.30.1
15.615.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
691
Unranked
12.21.0
15.716.7
Auto
Teleop
End