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Red157
97358.3
98024.5
33069.7
Blue165
29457.8
171763.4
512428.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions153142100200250157165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
330
#1
69.70.1
69.269.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.3
63.40.4
61.561.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
973
#10
58.30.1
57.857.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
294
#3
57.80.4
56.256.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
980
#32
24.50.1
24.024.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.6
5124
#12
28.10.4
26.226.6
Auto
Teleop
End