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Red167
510228.5
263741.0
69656.5
Blue110
491328.6
330952.5
20737.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12611150100150200250167110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
696
#14
56.50.7
55.956.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
52.50.1
50.850.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
41.00.7
40.341.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
207
#23
37.40.1
35.835.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5102
#36
28.50.7
27.828.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
4913
#16
28.60.1
26.826.8
Auto
Teleop
End