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Red151
29457.8
512428.1
171763.4
Blue71
151529.6
351226.8
119736.0
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1488205010020025015171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.40.3
59.359.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 27.4
1197
#17
36.00.5
35.935.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
294
#3
57.80.2
54.554.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 28.1
1515
#15
29.60.5
29.529.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5124
#12
28.10.3
24.024.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
26.80.4
26.826.4
Auto
Teleop
End