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Red107
450149.2
145227.3
98815.5
Blue151
351226.8
98128.5
69656.5
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85106050150200250107151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4501
#28
49.21.2
47.949.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.4
696
#14
56.52.4
53.455.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1452
#20
27.31.2
26.127.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
981
#38
28.53.5
25.028.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
988
#56
15.51.2
14.315.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.3
26.82.4
24.326.8
Auto
Teleop
End