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Red85
510228.5
49668.0
499727.3
Blue91
491328.6
450149.2
8488.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4848204060808591

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5102
#36
28.51.8
26.027.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.7
4501
#28
49.23.6
22.726.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4997
#27
27.33.1
16.119.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
4913
#16
28.63.6
18.321.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4966
#66
8.03.1
6.39.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
848
#59
8.53.6
6.810.4
Auto
Teleop
End