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Red56
164412.4
257616.1
441530.7
Blue47
332818.9
399338.4
407910.4
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33680501001502005647

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4415
#13
30.71.4
13.515.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.7
3993
#22
38.41.3
23.922.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2576
#52
16.11.4
10.511.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
3328
#35
18.90.8
21.220.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1644
#54
12.41.4
14.816.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
4079
#58
10.41.3
17.816.5
Auto
Teleop
End