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Red21
113820.7
399338.4
49668.0
Blue146
143828.1
86717.8
20737.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4667010015021146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3993
#22
38.42.3
22.520.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
207
#23
37.46.9
29.636.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1138
#55
20.72.3
16.914.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.4
1438
#33
28.16.9
15.122.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4966
#66
8.02.3
9.47.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.8
867
#30
17.86.9
18.825.7
Auto
Teleop
End