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Red126
508922.7
8488.5
98128.5
Blue126
41417.0
407910.4
461942.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41430206080100120126126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
981
#38
28.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.7
4619
#25
42.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
22.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.3
4079
#58
10.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
848
#59
8.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
4141
#65
7.0
Auto
Teleop
End