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Red170
145227.3
166119.7
97358.3
Blue120
427646.8
164412.4
385114.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78580100150200170120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#10
58.34.8
44.349.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.4
4276
#21
46.84.9
36.041.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1452
#20
27.37.9
17.325.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.9
3851
#49
14.44.9
8.513.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1661
#42
19.77.9
13.121.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.3
1644
#54
12.44.9
16.221.1
Auto
Teleop
End