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Red108
386319.2
70223.1
345327.1
Blue117
508922.7
450149.2
395325.0
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46610100150108117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3453
#39
27.15.0
15.220.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 22.1
4501
#28
49.24.9
31.836.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
702
#40
23.13.0
22.525.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
3953
#43
25.04.9
13.418.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3863
#60
19.25.0
10.615.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
22.74.9
13.218.1
Auto
Teleop
End