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Red118
145227.3
395325.0
397049.4
Blue126
491328.6
60623.8
143828.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89570150200250118126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.41.7
41.743.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.9
4913
#16
28.65.4
25.130.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1452
#20
27.32.6
24.126.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
1438
#33
28.15.0
18.623.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3953
#43
25.02.6
18.321.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
606
#34
23.85.0
18.023.0
Auto
Teleop
End