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Red7
183621.5
258410.5
97414.6
Blue31
491328.6
257616.1
69116.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54650204080100120140160731

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1836
#26
21.52.4
26.023.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.1
4913
#16
28.62.5
30.528.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
974
#63
14.63.5
16.112.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
691
#31
16.31.6
20.118.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2584
#45
10.53.5
13.710.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.6
2576
#52
16.12.3
12.310.0
Auto
Teleop
End