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Red127
167159.5
132345.6
397030.4
Blue182
208537.8
263736.8
513627.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13989050200250300127182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.50.1
58.258.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.7
2085
#35
37.81.6
36.137.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
45.60.1
44.344.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.8
36.81.6
35.136.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3970
#24
30.40.1
29.129.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
5136
#15
27.81.6
26.127.6
Auto
Teleop
End