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Red108
167159.5
397030.4
132345.6
Blue103
208537.8
513627.8
263736.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14095050200250300108103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.50.5
58.658.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.7
2085
#35
37.80.0
37.837.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
45.60.5
44.744.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.8
36.80.0
36.836.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3970
#24
30.40.5
29.529.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
5136
#15
27.80.0
27.827.8
Auto
Teleop
End