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Red95
64945.4
208537.8
304523.9
Blue27
513627.8
25626.6
142227.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions647501001502002503003509527

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
649
#6
45.42.5
25.227.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.6
5136
#15
27.83.8
25.021.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2085
#35
37.82.5
14.617.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.2
1422
#27
27.63.8
28.724.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3045
#11
23.92.5
25.628.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
256
#10
26.63.8
19.415.5
Auto
Teleop
End