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Red13
107220.6
510227.6
114819.5
Blue8
84120.0
29525.7
264325.2
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36700100150200250300138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5102
#12
27.62.4
19.717.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
295
#45
25.74.8
19.614.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1072
#38
20.62.4
12.710.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.6
2643
#20
25.24.8
20.315.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1148
#39
19.52.4
9.36.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
841
#23
20.04.8
25.320.5
Auto
Teleop
End