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Red112
351220.2
69120.0
167159.5
Blue83
107220.6
415932.7
67033.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions867305010015020011283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.52.3
51.053.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 26.3
670
#33
33.20.7
27.828.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3512
#36
20.22.3
24.026.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.5
4159
#18
32.70.7
36.637.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
691
#34
20.02.3
9.011.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
1072
#38
20.60.7
10.311.0
Auto
Teleop
End