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Red160
142227.6
167159.5
207339.5
Blue11
350128.2
469515.3
351220.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11457010015020025016011

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.54.2
50.654.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 31.4
3501
#32
28.24.3
26.121.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
39.54.2
32.837.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.3
3512
#36
20.24.3
24.119.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1422
#27
27.64.2
22.226.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.3
4695
#28
15.34.3
16.111.8
Auto
Teleop
End