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Red68
70219.9
349514.5
84120.0
Blue195
69120.0
244351.0
69647.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41111015020025030035068195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
841
#23
20.01.2
18.419.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 31.0
2443
#26
51.07.4
34.341.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
702
#13
19.91.2
14.715.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 27.9
696
#3
47.97.4
47.054.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3495
#30
14.51.2
19.220.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.6
691
#34
20.07.4
19.026.4
Auto
Teleop
End