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Red140
70219.9
167159.5
330327.5
Blue55
325616.2
513627.8
64945.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions959440608012014016014055

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.53.4
54.858.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.1
649
#6
45.42.8
49.146.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3303
#14
27.53.1
22.125.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
5136
#15
27.82.8
26.023.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
702
#13
19.93.4
15.919.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
3256
#40
16.23.0
21.318.3
Auto
Teleop
End