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Red98
815.5
415932.7
145826.3
Blue99
513627.8
114819.5
469515.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions734902040601001201401609899

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4159
#18
32.71.8
30.932.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.9
5136
#15
27.82.8
23.226.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1458
#17
26.31.8
24.626.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.8
1148
#39
19.52.8
16.719.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
8
#44
15.51.8
13.715.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
4695
#28
15.32.8
12.515.3
Auto
Teleop
End