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Red22
318930.9
397030.4
497315.5
Blue110
263736.8
142227.6
145826.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6657010015020022110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3189
#21
30.93.5
20.517.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.9
36.84.3
20.925.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3970
#24
30.43.5
28.625.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
1422
#27
27.64.3
14.218.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4973
#22
15.53.5
15.111.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.8
1458
#17
26.34.3
23.227.5
Auto
Teleop
End