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Red70
30136.3
527416.7
166236.9
Blue47
84029.8
135114.3
466924.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions557501001507047

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1662
#28
36.90.7
36.537.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.0
840
#35
29.81.4
31.229.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5274
#39
16.70.7
16.016.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.3
4669
#37
24.01.4
25.424.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3013
#44
6.30.7
5.76.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.0
1351
#52
14.31.4
15.714.3
Auto
Teleop
End