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Red52
51349.2
255133.0
247325.3
Blue135
220420.6
97182.2
385922.3
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59129010015020025052135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2551
#17
33.01.0
33.632.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 49.3
971
#1
82.20.9
77.078.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2473
#13
25.31.0
26.325.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
3859
#21
22.31.0
21.322.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5134
#34
9.21.0
10.29.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.4
2204
#14
20.60.9
19.720.6
Auto
Teleop
End